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Introduction
The momentum indicator describes how price changes occur. It is a
measure of the price change. It lets you know if prices are increasing
at a continuous rate or decreasing at a continuous rate. Momentum can
help gauge the current market trend. This indicator will sometimes shift
ahead of a price change. It is both an indicator of trend as well as an
indicator of a changing trend. The main thing to look for when using it
is a divergence or difference between price behavior and the indicators
behavior.
Interpretation
Momentum measures the rate of change in prices rather than actual price
levels themselves. By measuring this rate of incline or decline,
momentum tells whether the current trend is strengthening or weakening.
If prices are rising and the momentum indicator is above the zero line,
then the trend is gaining strength. If prices were rising but the
indicator was sagging or went below the zero line, then we would
interpret this as a sign of a coming change in trend. This is true
because although prices were still increasing they are doing so at a
decreasing rate.
The reverse would be true during a declining market. For example, think
of a race car gaining 20 miles an hour each lap, until it starts to only
gain 15 miles an hour, then 10 mph, then 5 mph until eventually it
reaches its top speed. Like a race car, a market can not sustain growing
momentum forever, and in many occurrences momentum slows before prices
change direction.
Typically, the trade signals are to buy when the momentum indicator
crosses from below the zero line to above it. This indicates that a new
upward trend has begun, as the market is able to violate resistance
levels and continue higher with increasing speed.
The sell signal would be to sell when the line crosses from above the
zero line to below it. This indicates that the market is picking up
speed to the downside and should be able to violate support areas. It is
in this way that this unique indicator is a trend following tool.
Another way to use momentum is to establish regions of overbought or
oversold. For example, when, in a declining market, the prices continue
downward and the momentum indicator moves toward more negative but
begins to level out. We would be looking for a buy signal when the
indicator turned upward and out of that oversold region.
It is in this way that momentum can sometimes shift ahead of the price
movement. This use of the momentum indicator is a counter trend usage.
In either implementation of this indicator the key is divergence -seeing
momentum make lower highs while prices are making higher highs, or
momentum making higher lows while prices are making lower lows. Being
aware of a difference in price movement and the momentum level can help
the trader make informed trading decisions.
Example of the Momentum in the Indicator Window:
Calculation
Parameters:
Period (20) - the number of bars, or period, used to calculate the
study. You must determine a value suitable to your trading needs and
methods. Some technicians argue that the length of the momentum
indicator should equal the normal price cycle. The best method is to
experiment with different lengths until you find the length that works
best for that particular commodity you are trading.
Formula:
The general formula to calculate momentum is as follows:
MOMt = Pi - Pi-n
MOMt: The momentum indicator for the current period.
Pi: The price of the i interval.
Pin: The price n intervals ago.
n: The number of intervals or length specified. Example: Assume the current price is 7470. This example examines a
momentum study using a length of ten trading intervals. The price ten
intervals ago is 7400. The calculation is:
MOM = 7470 - 7400 = +70
The momentum value can have a very broad range. It is a function of the
length you select for the momentum and the volatility of the underlying
futures contract. Thus, it could swing very widely and wildly about the
zero line.
Customizing
To change the settings of this indicator, open the Program Options
screen by clicking the "Program Options" button located on the main
Toolbar.
See the Program Options section for more details on changing the
settings.
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